The 2020 presidential election will likely be decided by women voters who appear set to oppose Donald Trump by the highest margin in history, according to an analysis of current polls by CNN expert polling analyst Harry Enten. In fact, the current gender gap separating Democratic frontrunner Joe Biden from Trump stands at 34 points — nine points wider than the 25-point gender gap in the 2016 election.
The 2016 gender gap was itself a record.
According to CNN polling cited by Enten, Biden currently leads Trump among women voters, 60 percent to 36, a lead of 24 points. But among men, Trump holds a 10-point lead, 52-42. Combining the two results produces a gender gap of 34 points. Prior to 2016, no presidential election dating back to 1952 had seen a gender gap of more than 20 points.
In fact, according to Enten, from 1952 to 1980 presidential elections showed no significant gender gap at all. Since the election of Ronald Reagan in 1980, however, gender gaps have been widening. “So this isn’t just about Trump,” Enten wrote.